BTC / USD
BTC Hourly Price Prediction
Every hour, we generate a BTC end-of-hour price prediction within a ±$100 win range using Kalshi prediction market probabilities, Polymarket cross-reference, and real-time technical analysis. We track every call — wins, losses, and how close we got.
End-of-Hour Prediction
No hourly Kalshi markets found for the current hour. Prediction will generate once markets open.
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until hour end
24H Sentiment
▶ Neutral
0 above vs 0 below markets
TA Trend (24H)
▶ Neutral
EMA20 < EMA50 · RSI 49
Support / Resistance
$79,702 – $79,950
Support: EMA20 · Resistance: Swing High
Suggested Entry (Buy)
$79,702
Near support · SL $79,136 · TP $79,950
Track Record
Predictions
672
all-time
Wins
413
within ±$100
Losses
259
Win Rate
61.5%
Avg Closeness
$187
avg miss
Streak
9 wins
Win = actual BTC price at hour end within ±$100 of prediction. See full history →
Model Self-Calibration · 698 predictions learned
Confidence Offset
-7.4%
global calibration
↑ Up Bias
-0.2%
WR 65% · 389 preds
↓ Down Bias
-1.2%
WR 60% · 309 preds
TA Boost
+4.3%
aligned 66% vs 57%
Last update 7:07 PM PDT: confidence_offset -0.079→-0.074 (actual WR 63% vs predicted 84%)